Were the question “Shall we join the EU?” rather than “Shall we leave” few in their right minds would vote to join what is
- a protectionist organisation
- an organisation that subsidises its rich Northern member states by providing an artificially low Euro exchange rate paid for by the poorer Southern member states who cannot go bust and start again by a devaluation but who are left in a state of constant austerity with high unemployment and all the other miseries of living with, what for them, is an over valued currency and
- for many a corrupt gravy train.
Were it possible to unravel decades of law and practice, of organisational and institutional integration and to adjustor arrangements with the EU, I would still vote yes to escaping the EU. But the reality is that there is no way out. To avoid chaos and breakdown, we need an agreement with the EU about our future relationships. The EU will not agree to harm itself. Agreeing to the UK leaving its jurisdiction would harm the EU. Ergo, the EU will not agree to anything that leads to our quitting. So the real question is not “Shall we leave?” but rather “Shall we stay as an EU member with power to alter the future of the EU or shall we simply be its hostage and watch helpless as it careers onwards to who knows where?